NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [1/27/2026]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of January 27, 2026, which covers every team's current NBA title chances.

Using our advanced predictive analytics model, this article will provide expertise on the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the most favorable outlook of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs.

Current odds to win NBA championship [1/27/2026]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 39.5%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Spurs, Knicks, and Rockets.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 39.5%
• Championship Odds: +125

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 39.5% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +125 available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 48.2% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of -400 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 14.2%
• Championship Odds: +600

The Nuggets have a 14.2% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +600 can be found at BetMGM.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 19.0% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +850 for this scenario.

As well as providing these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers offers NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. San Antonio Spurs

• Dimers Probability: 6.4%
• Championship Odds: +1300

The Spurs are projected to have a 6.4% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +1300 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

San Antonio, lead by Victor Wembanyama, is rated with a 9.3% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of +380 for this outcome.

Speaking of Victor Wembanyama, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Spurs star are hitting their prop lines.

4. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 5.7%
• Championship Odds: +1900

The Knicks are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1900 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Looking at the conference probabilities, New York is rated with a 20.0% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +1100 for this scenario.

Wondering how Jalen Brunson and the Knicks will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. Houston Rockets

• Dimers Probability: 5.2%
• Championship Odds: +1800

The Rockets are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1800 currently available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Houston is rated with a 7.9% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +350 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of January 27, 2026

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	39.5%	+125
Nuggets	14.2%	+600
Spurs	6.4%	+1300
Knicks	5.7%	+1900
Rockets	5.2%	+1800
Celtics	4.5%	+1500
Pistons	4.4%	+1800
Cavaliers	3.3%	+3000
Timberwolves	3.0%	+3500
Clippers	2.1%	+10000
Lakers	2.0%	+3500
Warriors	1.4%	+22500
76ers	1.4%	+5000
Magic	1.3%	+6500
Raptors	1.3%	+17500
Hawks	1.3%	+20000
Heat	0.7%	+10000
Mavericks	0.6%	+100000
Nets	0.5%	+200000
Kings	0.4%	+200000
Suns	0.3%	+17500
Trail Blazers	0.2%	+100000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Washington Wizards
• Memphis Grizzlies
• New Orleans Pelicans
• Charlotte Hornets
• Utah Jazz
• Chicago Bulls
• Milwaukee Bucks
• Indiana Pacers

Check out the most recent odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make smarter NBA futures betting decisions today - 1/27/2026

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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