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NBA player props today: New Year's Eve best props include Zion Williamson [12/31/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Wednesday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for New Year's Eve, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Zion Williamson, Deni Avdija and Jamal Murray.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pelicans vs. Bulls and Suns vs. Cavaliers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Wednesday, 12/31
Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for December 31, ranked by edge.
Zion Williamson over 3.5 assists (+122)
- Edge: 12.5%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Projection: 4.8
- Game: Pelicans vs. Bulls (7:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on New Orleans' Zion Williamson over 3.5 assists. A probability of 57.5% gives this play an edge of 12.5% at +122 odds.
Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds (+114)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 8.5
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)
Deni Avdija’s rebounds prop shows an 8.8% edge at +114 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 8.5 rebounds on the over 7.5 line.
Jamal Murray under 7.5 assists (+116)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Projection: 6.6
- Game: Nuggets vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Jamal Murray under 7.5 assists, with simulations showing a 54.8% probability and an 8.5% edge at +116.
Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 46.6%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Shaedon Sharpe to put up 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 8.4% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.
De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 46.4%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Knicks vs. Spurs (7:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals for San Antonio, showing an edge of 8.2% at +162 odds.
Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 46.1%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Knicks vs. Spurs (7:00PM ET)
Stephon Castle’s steals prop shows an edge of 7.9% at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.
Shaedon Sharpe over 4.5 rebounds (+126)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 51.9%
- Projection: 4.8
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Shaedon Sharpe for 4.8 rebounds for Portland, creating an edge of 7.6% on over 4.5 at +126 odds.
Deni Avdija over 2.5 3-pointers made (+122)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 52.1%
- Projection: 2.7
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Deni Avdija for 2.7 3-pointers made, creating value on the over 2.5 line at +122 odds and a 7.1% edge.
Derik Queen over 4.5 assists (+114)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 53.4%
- Projection: 5.1
- Game: Pelicans vs. Bulls (7:00PM ET)
A 6.7% edge on the over 2.5 assists line makes Derik Queen a value play in Pelicans vs. Bulls, with our model projecting him for 5.1 assists at +114 odds.
Yves Missi over 4.5 rebounds (+119)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Pelicans vs. Bulls (7:00PM ET)
Simulations project Yves Missi for 4.9 rebounds here, creating a 6.6% edge on the over 4.5 line at +119 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 1:43AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | Zion Williamson over 3.5 assists | +122 @ FanDuel | 12.5% | 57.5% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds | +114 @ FanDuel | 8.8% | 55.5% |
| Nuggets vs. Raptors | Jamal Murray under 7.5 assists | +116 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 46.6% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 46.6% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 8.2% | 46.4% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 7.9% | 46.1% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Shaedon Sharpe over 4.5 rebounds | +126 @ FanDuel | 7.6% | 51.9% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Deni Avdija over 2.5 3-pointers made | +122 @ FanDuel | 7.1% | 52.1% |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | Derik Queen over 2.5 assists | +114 @ FanDuel | 6.7% | 53.4% |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | Yves Missi over 4.5 rebounds | +119 @ DraftKings | 6.6% | 52.3% |
Conclusion
For December 31, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Zion Williamson, Deni Avdija and Jamal Murray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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