NBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Donovan Mitchell [12/22/2025]

Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 12.7%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Hornets vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Cleveland's Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals. A probability of 50.8% gives this play an edge of 12.7% at +162 odds.

Darius Garland over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Hornets vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Darius Garland’s steals prop shows a 12.2% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Magic vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.7% probability and an 11.7% edge at +194.

Derrick White over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.2%
• Probability: 47.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pacers vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Derrick White to record 1.2 blocks today, creating an edge of 11.2% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks (+171)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 47.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pacers vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks for Boston, showing an edge of 10.6% at +171 odds.

Herbert Jones over 1.5 steals (+136)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Herbert Jones’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.0% at +136 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.6 today.

Derrick White over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 46.4%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pacers vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Derrick White for 1.3 steals for Boston, creating an edge of 8.3% on over 1.5 at +162 odds.

Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 46.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jamal Murray for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds and a 8.2% edge.

Anthony Black over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Magic vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

A 7.6% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Anthony Black a value play in Magic vs. Warriors, with our model projecting him for 1.5 steals at +138 odds.

Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds (+120)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Projection: 8.0
• Game: Pistons vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Deni Avdija for 8.0 rebounds here, creating a 7.4% edge on the over 7.5 line at +120 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, December 22, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	12.7%	50.8%
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Darius Garland over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.2%	46.2%
Magic vs. Warriors	Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.2%	47.1%
Pacers vs. Celtics	Derrick White over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.2%	47.1%
Pacers vs. Celtics	Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks	+171 @ DraftKings	10.6%	47.5%
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	Herbert Jones over 1.5 steals	+136 @ FanDuel	9.0%	51.3%
Pacers vs. Celtics	Derrick White over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.3%	46.4%
Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.2%	46.4%
Magic vs. Warriors	Anthony Black over 1.5 steals	+138 @ FanDuel	7.6%	49.6%
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers	Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds	+120 @ FanDuel	7.4%	52.9%

Conclusion

For December 22, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland and Desmond Bane. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.