NBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Deni Avdija [4/6/2026]

Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists (+108)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Projection: 8.6
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Portland's Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists. A probability of 56.2% gives this play an edge of 8.1% at +108 odds.

Joel Embiid over 4.5 assists (+124)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 5.2
• Game: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Joel Embiid’s assists prop shows a 9.1% edge at +124 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.2 assists on the over 4.5 line.

Nae'Qwan Tomlin over 4.5 rebounds (+134)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 48.7%
• Projection: 4.2
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nae'Qwan Tomlin over 4.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 48.7% probability and a 5.9% edge at +134.

OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals (+136)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects OG Anunoby to record 1.4 steals today, creating an edge of 5.7% on the over 1.5 line at +136 odds.

Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks (+169)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 10.8% at +169 odds.

Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals (+166)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)

Desmond Bane’s steals prop shows an edge of 8.0% at +166 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jrue Holiday for 1.1 steals for Portland, creating an edge of 7.0% on over 1.5 at +162 odds.

Josh Hart over 1.5 steals (+188)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Josh Hart for 1.1 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +188 odds and a 10.2% edge.

Jalen Duren to score first basket (+600)

• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 14.7%
• Game: Pistons vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)

A 0.4% edge on the To Score First Basket 1.5 to score first basket line makes Jalen Duren a value play in Pistons vs. Magic, supported by a 14.7% probability at +600 odds.

Karl-Anthony Towns to score first basket (+700)

• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Karl-Anthony Towns to score first basket here, with a 12.8% probability and 0.3% edge at +700 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, April 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:02AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists	+108 @ FanDuel	8.1%	56.2%
76ers vs. Spurs	Joel Embiid over 4.5 assists	+124 @ FanDuel	9.1%	53.7%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies	Nae'Qwan Tomlin over 4.5 rebounds	+134 @ FanDuel	5.7%	48.0%
Knicks vs. Hawks	OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals	+136 @ DraftKings	5.7%	48.0%
76ers vs. Spurs	Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks	+169 @ DraftKings	10.8%	48.0%
Pistons vs. Magic	Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals	+166 @ DraftKings	8.0%	45.6%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	7.0%	45.1%
Knicks vs. Hawks	Josh Hart over 1.5 steals	+188 @ FanDuel	10.2%	44.9%
Pistons vs. Magic	Jalen Duren To Score First Basket 1.5 to score first basket	+600 @ FanDuel	0.4%	14.7%
Knicks vs. Hawks	Karl-Anthony Towns to score first basket	+700 @ FanDuel	0.3%	12.8%

Conclusion

For April 6, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Deni Avdija, Joel Embiid and Nae'Qwan Tomlin. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.