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NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Ryan Rollins [1/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Wednesday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for January 08, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Ryan Rollins, James Harden and Nic Claxton.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pelicans vs. Hawks and Magic vs. Nets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Thursday, 1/7
Sourced from 50+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 7, ranked by edge.
Ryan Rollins over 2.5 3-pointers made (+146)
- Edge: 13.3%
- Probability: 53.9%
- Projection: 2.8
- Game: Bucks vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Milwaukee's Ryan Rollins over 2.5 3-pointers made. A probability of 53.9% gives this play an edge of 13.3% at +146 odds.
James Harden over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.7%
- Probability: 45.7%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Clippers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)
James Harden’s steals prop shows an 11.7% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Nic Claxton over 1.5 blocks (+165)
- Edge: 10.8%
- Probability: 48.5%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Magic vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Nic Claxton over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 48.5% probability and a 10.8% edge at +165.
Isaiah Stewart over 2.5 blocks (+140)
- Edge: 10.8%
- Probability: 52.4%
- Projection: 2.8
- Game: Bulls vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Isaiah Stewart to record 2.8 blocks today, creating an edge of 10.8% on the over 2.5 line at +140 odds.
Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals (+136)
- Edge: 10.7%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Projection: 1.7
- Game: Rockets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals for Houston, showing an edge of 10.7% at +136 odds.
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 5.5 assists (+132)
- Edge: 10.6%
- Probability: 53.7%
- Projection: 6.2
- Game: Bucks vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Giannis Antetokounmpo’s assists prop shows an edge of 10.6% at +132 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.2 today.
Quentin Grimes over 3.5 assists (+130)
- Edge: 10.6%
- Probability: 54.0%
- Projection: 4.2
- Game: Wizards vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Quentin Grimes for 4.2 assists for Philadelphia, creating an edge of 10.6% on over 3.5 at +130 odds.
Derrick White over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 47.7%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Nuggets vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Derrick White for 1.3 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds and a 9.5% edge.
Amen Thompson over 7.5 rebounds (+135)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 51.9%
- Projection: 7.9
- Game: Rockets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)
A 9.4% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Amen Thompson a value play in Rockets vs. Trail Blazers, with our model projecting him for 7.9 rebounds at +135 odds.
Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks (+149)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 49.1%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Wizards vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)
Simulations project Joel Embiid for 1.4 blocks here, creating a 9.0% edge on the over 1.5 line at +149 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Warriors | Ryan Rollins over 2.5 3-pointers made | +146 @ FanDuel | 13.3% | 53.9% |
| Clippers vs. Knicks | James Harden over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.7% | 45.7% |
| Magic vs. Nets | Nic Claxton over 1.5 blocks | +165 @ BetMGM | 10.8% | 52.4% |
| Bulls vs. Pistons | Isaiah Stewart over 2.5 blocks | +140 @ FanDuel | 10.8% | 52.4% |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals | +136 @ FanDuel | 10.7% | 53.1% |
| Bucks vs. Warriors | Giannis Antetokounmpo over 5.5 assists | +132 @ FanDuel | 10.6% | 53.7% |
| Wizards vs. 76ers | Quentin Grimes over 3.5 assists | +130 @ FanDuel | 10.6% | 54.0% |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics | Derrick White over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 9.5% | 47.7% |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Amen Thompson over 1.5 rebounds | +135 @ BetMGM | 9.4% | 51.9% |
| Wizards vs. 76ers | Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks | +149 @ DraftKings | 9.0% | 49.1% |
Conclusion
For January 7, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Ryan Rollins, James Harden and Nic Claxton. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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