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NBA Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Nikola Jokic [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for April 18, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Nikola Jokic, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Raptors vs. Cavaliers and Timberwolves vs. Nuggets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Saturday's playoffs, 4/18
Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for April 18, ranked by probability.
Nikola Jokic over 9.5 assists (-102)
- Edge: 12.5%
- Probability: 63.0%
- Projection: 11.8
- Game: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (3:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on Denver's Nikola Jokic over 9.5 assists. A probability of 63.0% gives this play an edge of 12.5% at -102 odds.
Alperen Sengun over 5.5 assists (+110)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Projection: 6.5
- Game: Rockets vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)
Alperen Sengun’s assists prop shows an 8.0% edge at +110 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.5 assists on the over 5.5 line.
Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists (+128)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 53.4%
- Projection: 6.1
- Game: Rockets vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists, with simulations showing a 53.4% probability and a 9.5% edge at +128.
Donovan Mitchell over 5.5 assists (+126)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Projection: 5.7
- Game: Raptors vs. Cavaliers (1:00PM ET)
Our model projects Donovan Mitchell to put up 5.7 assists today, creating an edge of 6.6% on the over 5.5 line at +126 odds.
James Harden under 4.5 rebounds (+122)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 50.1%
- Projection: 4.5
- Game: Raptors vs. Cavaliers (1:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on James Harden under 4.5 rebounds for Cleveland, showing an edge of 5.0% at +122 odds.
OG Anunoby over 5.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 50.1%
- Projection: 5.5
- Game: Hawks vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET)
OG Anunoby’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 6.2% at +128 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.5 today.
Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+163)
- Edge: 10.0%
- Probability: 48.1%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Raptors vs. Cavaliers (1:00PM ET)
Our model projects Scottie Barnes for 1.3 blocks for Toronto, creating an edge of 10.0% on over 1.5 at +163 odds.
LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+137)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 48.0%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Rockets vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects LeBron James for 1.4 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +137 odds and a 5.9% edge.
Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 blocks (+165)
- Edge: 10.3%
- Probability: 48.0%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Hawks vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET)
A 10.3% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes Onyeka Okongwu a value play in Hawks vs. Knicks, with our model projecting him for 1.3 blocks at +165 odds.
OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals (+150)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 47.0%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Hawks vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET)
Simulations project OG Anunoby for 1.3 steals here, creating a 7.0% edge on the over 1.5 line at +150 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Saturday, April 18, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:00AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nikola Jokic over 9.5 assists | -102 @ DraftKings | 12.5% | 63.0% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Alperen Sengun over 5.5 assists | +110 @ FanDuel | 8.0% | 55.6% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists | +128 @ FanDuel | 6.6% | 50.8% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Donovan Mitchell over 5.5 assists | +126 @ FanDuel | 6.6% | 50.8% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | James Harden under 4.5 rebounds | +122 @ DraftKings | 5.0% | 50.1% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | OG Anunoby over 5.5 rebounds | +128 @ FanDuel | 6.2% | 50.1% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks | +163 @ DraftKings | 10.0% | 48.1% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LeBron James over 1.5 steals | +137 @ DraftKings | 5.9% | 48.0% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 blocks | +165 @ BetMGM | 10.3% | 48.0% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals | +150 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 47.0% |
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Conclusion
For April 18, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Nikola Jokic, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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