NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Alperen Sengun [2/23/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for February 23, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Alperen Sengun, Stephon Castle and Reed Sheppard.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Spurs vs. Pistons and Jazz vs. Rockets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Monday, 2/23

Below are the top 7 NBA player props for February 23, ranked by edge.

Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks (+180)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Houston's Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 48.0% gives this play an edge of 12.3% at +180 odds.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Stephon Castle’s steals prop shows an 11.4% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals (+152)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 47.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 47.0% probability and a 7.3% edge at +152.

Ace Bailey over 4.5 rebounds (+130)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 49.9%
• Projection: 4.5
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Ace Bailey to record 4.5 rebounds today, creating an edge of 6.4% on the over 4.5 line at +130 odds.

Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals for Houston, showing an edge of 5.7% at +148 odds.

Cam Spencer over 5.5 assists (+110)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Projection: 6.1
• Game: Kings vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Cam Spencer’s assists prop shows an edge of 5.6% at +110 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.1 today.

Jaylen Wells to score first basket (+800)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Game: Kings vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Jaylen Wells to score first basket for Memphis, with a 14.5% probability and a 3.4% edge at +800 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, February 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 7:58PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Jazz vs. Rockets	Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks	+180 @ BetMGM	12.3%	48.0%
Spurs vs. Pistons	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.4%	45.5%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals	+152 @ FanDuel	6.4%	49.9%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Ace Bailey over 4.5 rebounds	+130 @ FanDuel	6.4%	49.9%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	5.7%	46.1%
Kings vs. Grizzlies	Cam Spencer over 5.5 assists	+110 @ BetMGM	5.6%	53.2%
Kings vs. Grizzlies	Jaylen Wells to score first basket	+800 @ FanDuel	3.4%	14.5%

Conclusion

For February 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Alperen Sengun, Stephon Castle and Reed Sheppard. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.