NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Cade Cunningham [2/23/2026]

Cade Cunningham over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Detroit's Cade Cunningham over 1.5 steals. A probability of 46.3% gives this play an edge of 12.3% at +194 odds.

Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks (+177)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Alperen Sengun’s blocks prop shows a 12.1% edge at +177 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.6%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.6% probability and an 11.6% edge at +194.

Kevin Durant over 4.5 assists (+106)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Projection: 5.5
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Kevin Durant to put up 5.5 assists today, creating an edge of 6.9% on the over 4.5 line at +106 odds.

Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 47.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals for Houston, showing an edge of 6.7% at +148 odds.

Julian Champagnie over 4.5 rebounds (+125)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Projection: 4.7
• Game: Spurs vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Julian Champagnie’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 6.5% at +125 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.7 today.

Keldon Johnson over 11.5 points scored (+120)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Projection: 12.1
• Game: Spurs vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Keldon Johnson for 12.1 points scored for San Antonio, creating an edge of 5.9% on over 11.5 at +120 odds.

Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Alperen Sengun for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +148 odds and a 5.8% edge.

Russell Westbrook over 5.5 assists (+135)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 5.1
• Game: Kings vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

A 5.5% edge on the over 1.5 assists line makes Russell Westbrook a value play in Kings vs. Grizzlies, with our model projecting him for 5.1 assists at +135 odds.

Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists (-102)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Projection: 6.6
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Simulations project Amen Thompson for 6.6 assists here, creating a 5.4% edge on the over 5.5 line at -102 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, February 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 5:36PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Spurs vs. Pistons	Cade Cunningham over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.3%	46.3%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks	+177 @ DraftKings	12.1%	48.2%
Spurs vs. Pistons	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	6.9%	55.4%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Kevin Durant over 4.5 assists	+106 @ FanDuel	6.9%	55.4%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	6.7%	47.0%
Spurs vs. Pistons	Julian Champagnie over 4.5 rebounds	+125 @ BetMGM	6.5%	50.9%
Spurs vs. Pistons	Keldon Johnson over 11.5 points scored	+120 @ BetMGM	5.9%	51.3%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	5.8%	46.1%
Kings vs. Grizzlies	Russell Westbrook over 1.5 assists	+135 @ BetMGM	5.5%	48.1%
Jazz vs. Rockets	Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists	-102 @ DraftKings	5.4%	55.9%

Conclusion

For February 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Cade Cunningham, Alperen Sengun and Stephon Castle. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.