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NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Zion Williamson [12/18/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.

NBA Prop Bets.
NBA prop bets for December 18, 2025 are based on the latest odds and projections for Friday's basketball games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for December 19, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Zion Williamson, Norman Powell and Jamal Murray.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Heat vs. Nets and Hawks vs. Hornets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Friday, 12/18

Sourced from 60+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for December 18, ranked by edge.

Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals (+178)

Our model has found value on New Orleans' Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.2% gives this play an edge of 12.3% at +178 odds.

 

Norman Powell over 1.5 steals (+194)

  • Edge: 11.8%
  • Probability: 45.8%
  • Projection: 1.2
  • Game: Heat vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Norman Powell’s steals prop shows an 11.8% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

 

Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+194)

The data highlights value on Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.5% probability and an 11.5% edge at +194.

 

Goga Bitadze over 1.5 blocks (+174)

Our model projects Goga Bitadze to record 1.2 blocks today, creating an edge of 11.4% on the over 1.5 line at +174 odds.

 

LeBron James over 7.5 assists (+115)

  • Edge: 10.5%
  • Probability: 57.0%
  • Projection: 8.7
  • Game: Lakers vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on LeBron James over 7.5 assists for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 10.5% at +115 odds.

 

Kel'el Ware over 1.5 blocks (+162)

  • Edge: 9.8%
  • Probability: 48.0%
  • Projection: 1.3
  • Game: Heat vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Kel'el Ware’s blocks prop shows an edge of 9.8% at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

 

Jay Huff over 2.5 3-pointers made (+146)

Our model projects Jay Huff for 2.5 3-pointers made for Indiana, creating an edge of 9.7% on over 2.5 at +146 odds.

 

Pascal Siakam over 1.5 steals (+178)

Our expert modelling projects Pascal Siakam for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds and a 9.6% edge.

 

Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 blocks (+178)

  • Edge: 9.6%
  • Probability: 45.5%
  • Projection: 1.0
  • Game: Heat vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

A 9.6% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes Andrew Wiggins a value play in Heat vs. Nets, with our model projecting him for 1.0 blocks at +178 odds.

 

Derik Queen over 1.5 steals (+182)

Simulations project Derik Queen for 1.1 steals here, creating a 9.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +182 odds.

 

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, December 18, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Edge Probability
Rockets vs. Pelicans Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals +178 @ FanDuel 12.3% 48.2%
Heat vs. Nets Norman Powell over 1.5 steals +194 @ FanDuel 11.8% 45.8%
Magic vs. Nuggets Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals +194 @ FanDuel 11.4% 47.9%
Magic vs. Nuggets Goga Bitadze over 1.5 blocks +174 @ FanDuel 11.4% 47.9%
Lakers vs. Jazz LeBron James over 7.5 assists +115 @ BetMGM 10.5% 57.0%
Heat vs. Nets Kel'el Ware over 1.5 blocks +162 @ FanDuel 9.8% 48.0%
Knicks vs. Pacers Jay Huff over 2.5 3-pointers made +146 @ FanDuel 9.7% 50.4%
Knicks vs. Pacers Pascal Siakam over 1.5 steals +178 @ FanDuel 9.6% 45.6%
Heat vs. Nets Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 blocks +178 @ FanDuel 9.6% 45.5%
Rockets vs. Pelicans Derik Queen over 1.5 steals +182 @ FanDuel 9.5% 44.9%

Conclusion

For December 18, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Zion Williamson, Norman Powell and Jamal Murray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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