NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Zion Williamson [12/18/2025]

Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on New Orleans' Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.2% gives this play an edge of 12.3% at +178 odds.

Norman Powell over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 45.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Heat vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Norman Powell’s steals prop shows an 11.8% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.5%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Magic vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.5% probability and an 11.5% edge at +194.

Goga Bitadze over 1.5 blocks (+174)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Magic vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Goga Bitadze to record 1.2 blocks today, creating an edge of 11.4% on the over 1.5 line at +174 odds.

LeBron James over 7.5 assists (+115)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 57.0%
• Projection: 8.7
• Game: Lakers vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on LeBron James over 7.5 assists for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 10.5% at +115 odds.

Kel'el Ware over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 9.8%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Heat vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Kel'el Ware’s blocks prop shows an edge of 9.8% at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

Jay Huff over 2.5 3-pointers made (+146)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Knicks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jay Huff for 2.5 3-pointers made for Indiana, creating an edge of 9.7% on over 2.5 at +146 odds.

Pascal Siakam over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Knicks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Pascal Siakam for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds and a 9.6% edge.

Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Heat vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

A 9.6% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes Andrew Wiggins a value play in Heat vs. Nets, with our model projecting him for 1.0 blocks at +178 odds.

Derik Queen over 1.5 steals (+182)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Derik Queen for 1.1 steals here, creating a 9.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +182 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, December 18, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.3%	48.2%
Heat vs. Nets	Norman Powell over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.8%	45.8%
Magic vs. Nuggets	Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.4%	47.9%
Magic vs. Nuggets	Goga Bitadze over 1.5 blocks	+174 @ FanDuel	11.4%	47.9%
Lakers vs. Jazz	LeBron James over 7.5 assists	+115 @ BetMGM	10.5%	57.0%
Heat vs. Nets	Kel'el Ware over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	9.8%	48.0%
Knicks vs. Pacers	Jay Huff over 2.5 3-pointers made	+146 @ FanDuel	9.7%	50.4%
Knicks vs. Pacers	Pascal Siakam over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.6%	45.6%
Heat vs. Nets	Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	9.6%	45.5%
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Derik Queen over 1.5 steals	+182 @ FanDuel	9.5%	44.9%

Conclusion

For December 18, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Zion Williamson, Norman Powell and Jamal Murray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.