Navy vs. Memphis prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Thanksgiving Day College Football matchup, 2025

Memphis will take on Navy in Week 14 college football action at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Thanksgiving Day, with kickoff at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college football model gives Memphis a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Navy.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's Navy vs. Memphis matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Navy vs. Memphis prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Navy vs. Memphis 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Memphis a 52% chance of defeating Navy. Our predicted final score has Memphis winning 29-28.

According to our model, Navy (+3.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 58.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Navy vs. Memphis odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Navy	Memphis
Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+145	-166
Total	o58.5 (-105)	u58.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Navy vs. Memphis picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Navy +3.5	-110
Moneyline	Navy	+145
Total	Over 58.5	-105

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Navy to win.

Navy vs. Memphis game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's college football game between Memphis and Navy at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Navy vs. Memphis
• Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025 (Thanksgiving Day)
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Memphis, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Navy on Thanksgiving Day.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Navy vs. Memphis insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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