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Nashville SC vs. D.C. United prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Nashville SC vs D.C. United predictions for MLS Saturday.
Nashville and D.C. United will meet in MLS action at Geodis Park on Saturday, starting at 9:15 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Nashville as the most likely winner of the Nashville vs. D.C. United game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Nashville SC vs. D.C. United prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Nashville and D.C. United, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 66.1% chance of Nashville winning, a 13.9% chance for D.C. United, and a 20.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Nashville SC vs. D.C. United odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Nashville | D.C. United | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -125 | +380 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -103 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nashville SC vs. D.C. United picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville | -125 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -120 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nashville to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nashville SC vs. D.C. United: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Nashville win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NSC 2-0 DCU | 11.9% |
| NSC 1-0 DCU | 11.6% |
| NSC 2-1 DCU | 9.8% |
Nashville SC vs. D.C. United game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Nashville and D.C. United in MLS at Geodis Park is scheduled to commence at 9:15 PM ET.
- Who: Nashville SC vs. D.C. United
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 9:15 PM ET/6:15PM PT
- Venue: Geodis Park
World Cup 2026 watch: Walker Zimmerman (USA)
Nashville center-back Walker Zimmerman is firmly on the radar for USMNT supporters this year as anticipation builds ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already generating demand for World Cup predictions and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Zimmerman's club form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Nashville has a 66.1% win probability on Saturday, D.C. United has a 13.9% win probability, and there is a 20.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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