MLB Props Parlay: Bet on these four hitters on Friday, March 27 at +623 odds

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade

Friday's MLB betting slate is here on March 27 and we've found four hitters to target using our improved props model for the 2026 season.

MLB betting and props parlay for March 27

The MLB season is back, and we've got an 8-game MLB betting slate on Friday, March 27, full of the best bets, MLB player props, and home run predictions with the Dimers model.

We've retooled our MLB props model over the offseason, and our backtesting reveals very positive early results, with an increased ROI in several prop markets, which we'll be utilizing in today's MLB parlay.

All season long, you'll find these prop markets in the Dimers App, the ultimate companion tool for Dimers Pro users. If you don't have Dimers Pro, you can sign up in the App today and get a three-day free trial - learn more below!

Get a three-day free trial of Dimers Pro in the app!

Four MLB hitters to bet on today - Friday, March 27

Today, we are going to use multiple Dimers tools to find players to bet on in a unique market, Hits + Runs + RBI. In this prop market, you're simply betting on a given player to record a combined number of Hits, Runs and RBI, with each counting equally. 

For example, if a player has a line of 1.5 H+R+RBI, any combination of 2 hits, runs or RBI would clear the line - two hits, a hit that drives in a run, a hit and then scoring - just a few examples of how a player can hit this prop. And a home run, of course, instantly bags all three.

Players who feature at the top in multiple categories of Dimers' MLB Hitter Projections profile as good targets in this market, especially in favorable pitching matchups, and that's what we're looking for with these four players below.

1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Game: Athletics vs. Blue Jays

Time: 7:07 PM ET

First up is super slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Vladdy gets a 63.9% probability for a hit (4th), 32.0% for 2+ hits (5th) and 33.7% for an RBI (2nd) by the Dimers model, plus a Top 10 HR probability at 16.9%.

Even in a down year for him in regards to home runs last season, he ranked 6th in the AL in hits, 8th in runs and 19th in RBI.

What also makes this pick stand out is that our model not only favors several Blue Jays hitters, but also says we should fade A's starter Luis Severino.

Severino has a 57.9% probability of allowing 3+ earned runs and a 57.5% probability of allowing 6+ hits, suggesting a high offensive output from the Jays' lineup.

2. Xavier Edwards over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Game: Marlins vs. Rockies

Time: 7:10 PM ET

Xaiver Edwards is our next target in the Marlins-Rockies interleague clash, and for good reason on paper - he's our model's most likely player to pick up a hit today at 65.5%, as well as multiple hits at 35.5%.

Now, he may be a better target for 2+ hits specifically for better odds at +190, or for 2+ total bases at +115 and here's why: two hits will cash both Hits + R + RBI and the other two markets, but Edwards projects outside our Top 50 probabilities to get an RBI, under 25%.

Last year, he was Top 15 in the NL in hits, and 11th in average, highlighting his upside as a pure hitter compared to driving in runs.

His matchup with Rockies starter Kyle Freeland (4.98 ERA, 1.42 WHIP last season) looks good, as Freeland projects for 2.97 earned runs (second-highest of the night) and for 6.34 hits, most of the night.

IMG_8137.jpgThe most likely players for 2+ hits in the Dimers App.

3.  Yordan Alvarez over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

We have a similar situation to Jays-A's in this game, with the Dimers model projecting Angels starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi to get knocked around with a 64.8% probability of giving up 5+ hits and a 54.1% probability of allowing at least 3 earned runs.

That's why we'll turn to another top-projected slugger on the slate with Yordan Alvarez, who had an Opening day home run taken away by hitting the roof on Thursday night.

Alvarez gets our fourth-highest HR probability (17.4%) and RBI (27.7%) tonight, as well as a Top 10 hit probability at 60.9%.

Alvarez crushed lefties in 2026 and gets a great matchup backed by the Dimers data vs. lefty Kikuchi tonight.

Game: Angels vs. Astros

Time: 8:15 PM ET

4.  Freddie Freeman over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Game: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

Time: 10:10 PM ET

In the last game of the night, we'll look at Dodgers star Freddie Freeman to combine for 2 H+R+RBI after being the only Dodger not to pick up at least 1 in last night's game.

Freeman is used to elite numbers, ranking Top 10 in the NL in batting average in all but 2 of his last 10 seasons for both the Dodgers and Braves.

He hits in the heart of the order which is good for RBI and Runs, and gets a Top 10 mark in each Hit, 2+ Hits, RBI and HR projection by the Dimers model.

His matchup with Arizona starter Ryne Nelson is solid, as Freeman's best pitch last season (4-seam fastball), was thrown by Nelson over 60% of the time last year.

MLB props parlay at +623 odds

For a bigger payout at a higher risk, you can bet these player props as a parlay together at odds of +623 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

PlayerProp BetOdds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr (Blue Jays)Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI-190
Xavier Edwards (Marlins)Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
-149
Yordan Alvarez (Astros)Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
-134
Freddie Freeman (Dodgers)Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
-160

Dimers' MLB betting resources for the 2026 season

Responsible gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-MY-RESET for crisis counseling and support.

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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