MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Nick Pivetta [4/7/2026]

Nick Pivetta over 15.5 outs recorded (-119)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Game: Padres vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on San Diego's Nick Pivetta over 15.5 outs recorded. A probability of 58.9% gives this play an edge of 4.6% at -119 odds.

Nick Pivetta under 6.5 strikeouts (-122)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Game: Padres vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)

Nick Pivetta’s strikeouts prop shows a 58.5% probability and an 3.6% edge at -122 odds, according to our model.

Gavin Williams under 17.5 outs recorded (+102)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Game: Royals vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Gavin Williams under 17.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 56.6% probability and a 7.1% edge at +102.

Andrew Abbott under 17.5 outs recorded (+117)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Game: Reds vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Andrew Abbott under 17.5 outs recorded, with a 56.6% probability and an edge of 7.2% at +117 odds.

Nathan Eovaldi under 5.5 strikeouts (+121)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Nathan Eovaldi under 5.5 strikeouts for Texas, showing an edge of 4.5% at +121 odds.

Paul Skenes under 6.5 strikeouts (+102)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Game: Padres vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)

Paul Skenes’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 6.7% at +102 odds, supported by a 56.2% probability according to our model.

Gavin Williams under 5.5 strikeouts (-111)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Game: Royals vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Gavin Williams under 5.5 strikeouts for Cleveland, with a 55.7% probability and a 3.1% edge at -111 odds.

George Kirby under 17.5 outs recorded (-106)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

The data shows value on George Kirby under 17.5 outs recorded, supported by a 55.6% probability at -106 odds and an edge of 4.1%.

Taj Bradley over 15.5 outs recorded (+113)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Game: Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

A 7.1% edge on the over 17.5 outs recorded line makes Taj Bradley a value play in Tigers vs. Twins, supported by a 54.1% probability at +113 odds.

Isaac Collins to get a hit (+100)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Game: Royals vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Isaac Collins to get a hit here, with a 53.1% probability and 3.1% edge at +100 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, April 7, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:09AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Padres vs. Pirates	Nick Pivetta over 15.5 outs recorded	-119 @ DraftKings	4.6%	58.9%
Padres vs. Pirates	Nick Pivetta under 6.5 strikeouts	-122 @ FanDuel	3.6%	58.5%
Royals vs. Guardians	Gavin Williams under 17.5 outs recorded	+102 @ DraftKings	7.2%	56.6%
Reds vs. Marlins	Andrew Abbott under 17.5 outs recorded	+117 @ DraftKings	7.2%	56.6%
Mariners vs. Rangers	Nathan Eovaldi under 5.5 strikeouts	+121 @ DraftKings	4.5%	56.5%
Padres vs. Pirates	Paul Skenes under 6.5 strikeouts	+102 @ DraftKings	6.7%	56.2%
Royals vs. Guardians	Gavin Williams under 5.5 strikeouts	-111 @ DraftKings	3.1%	55.7%
Mariners vs. Rangers	George Kirby under 17.5 outs recorded	-106 @ DraftKings	4.1%	55.6%
Tigers vs. Twins	Taj Bradley over 17.5 outs recorded	+113 @ DraftKings	7.1%	54.1%
Royals vs. Guardians	Isaac Collins to get a hit	+100 @ FanDuel	3.1%	53.1%

Conclusion

For April 7, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Nick Pivetta, Gavin Williams and Andrew Abbott. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.