MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Michael Soroka [3/30/2026]

Michael Soroka over 4.5 strikeouts (-172)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 73.0%
• Game: Tigers vs. D-Backs (10:10PM ET)

Our model has found value on Arizona's Michael Soroka over 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 73.0% gives this play an edge of 9.7% at -172 odds.

Cody Ponce over 0.5 walks allowed (-215)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 71.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Cody Ponce’s walks allowed prop shows a 71.3% probability and an 3.1% edge at -215 odds, according to our model.

Landen Roupp over 3.5 strikeouts (-175)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Giants vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Landen Roupp over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 68.5% probability and a 4.8% edge at -175.

Braxton Ashcraft over 14.5 outs recorded (-160)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Pirates vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Braxton Ashcraft over 14.5 outs recorded, with a 67.2% probability and an edge of 5.7% at -160 odds.

Andres Gimenez to get a hit (-175)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Rockies vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Andres Gimenez to get a hit for Toronto, showing an edge of 2.8% at -175 odds.

Tomoyuki Sugano over 5.5 hits allowed (-119)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Rockies vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Tomoyuki Sugano’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 4.6% at -119 odds, supported by a 65.5% probability according to our model.

Luis Castillo over 3.5 hits allowed (-135)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Yankees vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Luis Castillo over 3.5 hits allowed for Seattle, with a 64.5% probability and a 7.0% edge at -135 odds.

Justin Verlander over 4.5 hits allowed (-126)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 64.1%
• Game: Tigers vs. D-Backs (10:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Justin Verlander over 4.5 hits allowed, supported by a 64.1% probability at -126 odds and an edge of 8.3%.

Kyle Harrison over 4.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

A 4.6% edge on the over 4.5 strikeouts line makes Kyle Harrison a value play in Rays vs. Brewers, supported by a 63.6% probability at -144 odds.

Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed (-115)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed here, with a 62.8% probability and 9.4% edge at -115 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, March 30, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:01AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Tigers vs. D-Backs	Michael Soroka over 4.5 strikeouts	-172 @ FanDuel	9.7%	73.0%
Rockies vs. Blue Jays	Cody Ponce over 0.5 walks allowed	-215 @ DraftKings	3.1%	71.3%
Giants vs. Padres	Landen Roupp over 3.5 strikeouts	-175 @ BetMGM	5.7%	67.2%
Pirates vs. Reds	Braxton Ashcraft over 14.5 outs recorded	-160 @ BetMGM	5.7%	67.2%
Rockies vs. Blue Jays	Andres Gimenez to get a hit	-175 @ BetMGM	2.8%	66.4%
Rockies vs. Blue Jays	Tomoyuki Sugano over 5.5 hits allowed	-119 @ DraftKings	4.6%	65.5%
Yankees vs. Mariners	Luis Castillo over 3.5 hits allowed	-135 @ BetMGM	7.0%	64.5%
Tigers vs. D-Backs	Justin Verlander over 4.5 hits allowed	-126 @ DraftKings	8.3%	64.1%
Rays vs. Brewers	Kyle Harrison over 4.5 strikeouts	-144 @ DraftKings	4.6%	63.6%
Red Sox vs. Astros	Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed	-115 @ DraftKings	9.4%	62.8%

Conclusion

For March 30, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Michael Soroka, Cody Ponce and Landen Roupp. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.