MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Bubba Chandler [4/12/2026]

Bubba Chandler over 4.5 hits allowed (-140)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 70.5%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

Our model has found value on Pittsburgh's Bubba Chandler over 4.5 hits allowed. A probability of 70.5% gives this play an edge of 2.6% at -140 odds.

Brayan Bello under 2.5 walks allowed (-156)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

Brayan Bello’s walks allowed prop shows a 68.5% probability and an 7.6% edge at -156 odds, according to our model.

Tarik Skubal under 1.5 walks allowed (-182)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 68.4%
• Game: Marlins vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Tarik Skubal under 1.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 68.4% probability and a 3.9% edge at -182.

Andre Pallante over 1.5 walks allowed (-161)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 68.0%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Andre Pallante over 1.5 walks allowed, with a 68.0% probability and an edge of 6.4% at -161 odds.

Taj Bradley under 5.5 strikeouts (-163)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 67.8%
• Game: Twins vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Taj Bradley under 5.5 strikeouts for Minnesota, showing an edge of 5.8% at -163 odds.

Dansby Swanson to get a hit (-169)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

Dansby Swanson’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 2.3% at -169 odds, supported by a 65.1% probability according to our model.

Tanner Bibee over 4.5 hits allowed (-165)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Braves (7:20PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Tanner Bibee over 4.5 hits allowed for Cleveland, with a 64.8% probability and a 2.5% edge at -165 odds.

Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts (-143)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Marlins vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts, supported by a 63.6% probability at -143 odds and an edge of 4.7%.

Brandon Woodruff under 4.5 hits allowed (-141)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: Nationals vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

A 3.9% edge on the under 5.5 hits allowed line makes Brandon Woodruff a value play in Nationals vs. Brewers, supported by a 62.4% probability at -141 odds.

Jameson Taillon under 4.5 strikeouts (-102)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 61.4%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jameson Taillon under 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 61.4% probability and 5.4% edge at -102 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, April 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:53PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Pirates vs. Cubs	Bubba Chandler over 4.5 hits allowed	-140 @ DraftKings	2.6%	70.5%
Red Sox vs. Cardinals	Brayan Bello under 2.5 walks allowed	-156 @ DraftKings	7.6%	68.5%
Marlins vs. Tigers	Tarik Skubal under 1.5 walks allowed	-182 @ DraftKings	6.4%	68.0%
Red Sox vs. Cardinals	Andre Pallante over 1.5 walks allowed	-161 @ DraftKings	6.4%	68.0%
Twins vs. Blue Jays	Taj Bradley under 5.5 strikeouts	-163 @ DraftKings	5.8%	67.8%
Pirates vs. Cubs	Dansby Swanson to get a hit	-169 @ DraftKings	2.3%	65.1%
Guardians vs. Braves	Tanner Bibee over 4.5 hits allowed	-165 @ DraftKings	2.5%	64.8%
Marlins vs. Tigers	Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts	-143 @ DraftKings	4.7%	63.6%
Nationals vs. Brewers	Brandon Woodruff under 5.5 hits allowed	-141 @ DraftKings	3.9%	62.4%
Pirates vs. Cubs	Jameson Taillon under 4.5 strikeouts	-102 @ DraftKings	5.4%	61.4%

Conclusion

For April 12, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Bubba Chandler, Brayan Bello and Tarik Skubal. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.