MLB player props today: Easter Sunday best props include Taijuan Walker [4/5/2026]

Taijuan Walker over 14.5 outs recorded (-163)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 68.4%
• Game: Phillies vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Philadelphia's Taijuan Walker over 14.5 outs recorded. A probability of 68.4% gives this play an edge of 6.4% at -163 odds.

Roki Sasaki over 1.5 earned runs (-166)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET)

Roki Sasaki’s earned runs prop shows a 67.2% probability and an 4.7% edge at -166 odds, according to our model.

Luis Castillo under 6.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Mariners vs. Angels (4:07PM ET)

The data highlights value on Luis Castillo under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 66.4% probability and a 9.5% edge at -132.

Kyle Harrison over 1.5 earned runs (-169)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: Brewers vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Kyle Harrison over 1.5 earned runs, with a 65.8% probability and an edge of 2.9% at -169 odds.

Ryan Johnson over 14.5 outs recorded (-130)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Mariners vs. Angels (4:07PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ryan Johnson over 14.5 outs recorded for LA Angels, showing an edge of 8.9% at -130 odds.

Jack Leiter over 1.5 earned runs (-150)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Game: Reds vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)

Jack Leiter’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 3.8% at -150 odds, supported by a 63.8% probability according to our model.

Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 bases (-127)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Game: Phillies vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 bases for Philadelphia, with a 63.3% probability and a 7.4% edge at -127 odds.

Kodai Senga under 5.5 strikeouts (-117)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Mets vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)

The data shows value on Kodai Senga under 5.5 strikeouts, supported by a 63.1% probability at -117 odds and an edge of 9.1%.

Alec Bohm over 1.5 bases (-122)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Game: Phillies vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

A 7.0% edge on the over 5.5 bases line makes Alec Bohm a value play in Phillies vs. Rockies, supported by a 61.9% probability at -122 odds.

Ryan Johnson over 2.5 earned runs (-123)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Game: Mariners vs. Angels (4:07PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ryan Johnson over 2.5 earned runs here, with a 61.6% probability and 6.5% edge at -123 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, April 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 10:12AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Phillies vs. Rockies	Taijuan Walker over 14.5 outs recorded	-163 @ DraftKings	6.4%	68.4%
Dodgers vs. Nationals	Roki Sasaki over 1.5 earned runs	-166 @ DraftKings	4.7%	67.2%
Mariners vs. Angels	Luis Castillo under 6.5 strikeouts	-132 @ DraftKings	2.9%	65.8%
Brewers vs. Royals	Kyle Harrison over 1.5 earned runs	-169 @ DraftKings	2.9%	65.8%
Mariners vs. Angels	Ryan Johnson over 14.5 outs recorded	-130 @ BetMGM	8.9%	65.5%
Reds vs. Rangers	Jack Leiter over 1.5 earned runs	-150 @ DraftKings	3.8%	63.8%
Phillies vs. Rockies	Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 bases	-127 @ DraftKings	7.4%	63.3%
Mets vs. Giants	Kodai Senga under 5.5 strikeouts	-117 @ DraftKings	9.1%	63.1%
Phillies vs. Rockies	Alec Bohm over 5.5 bases	-122 @ DraftKings	7.0%	61.9%
Mariners vs. Angels	Ryan Johnson over 2.5 earned runs	-123 @ DraftKings	6.5%	61.6%

Conclusion

For April 5, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Taijuan Walker, Roki Sasaki and Luis Castillo. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.