MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Brandon Lockridge [3/29/2026]

Brandon Lockridge over 0.5 to steal a base (+475)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 25.3%
• Game: White Sox vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Milwaukee's Brandon Lockridge over 0.5 to steal a base. A probability of 25.3% gives this play an edge of 7.9% at +475 odds.

Justin Crawford over 0.5 to steal a base (+625)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 21.6%
• Game: Rangers vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET)

Justin Crawford’s to steal a base prop shows a 21.6% probability and an 7.8% edge at +625 odds, according to our model.

Tatsuya Imai over 1.5 earned runs (-142)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Angels vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Tatsuya Imai over 1.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 66.4% probability and a 7.8% edge at -142.

Nolan McLean over 15.5 outs recorded (+109)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Game: Pirates vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Nolan McLean over 15.5 outs recorded, with a 55.9% probability and an edge of 7.7% at +109 odds.

Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts (-108)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 60.0%
• Game: Rangers vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 7.6% at -108 odds.

Anthony Kay under 1.5 walks allowed (+127)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Game: White Sox vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Anthony Kay’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 7.1% at +127 odds, supported by a 51.2% probability according to our model.

Shota Imanaga over 0.5 walks allowed (-187)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 73.4%
• Game: Nationals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Shota Imanaga over 0.5 walks allowed for CHI Cubs, with a 73.4% probability and a 6.8% edge at -187 odds.

Grant Holmes over 1.5 earned runs (-165)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 69.0%
• Game: Royals vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

The data shows value on Grant Holmes over 1.5 earned runs, supported by a 69.0% probability at -165 odds and an edge of 6.7%.

Dylan Beavers over 0.5 to steal a base (+1150)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Game: Twins vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET)

A 6.5% edge on the over 1.5 to steal a base line makes Dylan Beavers a value play in Twins vs. Orioles, supported by a 14.5% probability at +1150 odds.

Luis Morales under 1.5 walks allowed (+151)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Game: Athletics vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

Simulations show value on Luis Morales under 1.5 walks allowed here, with a 46.2% probability and 6.3% edge at +151 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, March 29, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:59PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
White Sox vs. Brewers	Brandon Lockridge over 0.5 to steal a base	+475 @ BetMGM	7.9%	25.3%
Rangers vs. Phillies	Justin Crawford over 0.5 to steal a base	+625 @ BetMGM	7.8%	21.6%
Angels vs. Astros	Tatsuya Imai over 1.5 earned runs	-142 @ DraftKings	7.7%	55.9%
Pirates vs. Mets	Nolan McLean over 15.5 outs recorded	+109 @ DraftKings	7.7%	55.9%
Rangers vs. Phillies	Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts	-108 @ FanDuel	7.6%	60.0%
White Sox vs. Brewers	Anthony Kay under 1.5 walks allowed	+127 @ DraftKings	7.1%	51.2%
Nationals vs. Cubs	Shota Imanaga over 0.5 walks allowed	-187 @ DraftKings	6.8%	73.4%
Royals vs. Braves	Grant Holmes over 1.5 earned runs	-165 @ BetMGM	6.7%	69.0%
Twins vs. Orioles	Dylan Beavers over 1.5 to steal a base	+1150 @ BetMGM	6.5%	14.5%
Athletics vs. Blue Jays	Luis Morales under 1.5 walks allowed	+151 @ DraftKings	6.3%	46.2%

Conclusion

For March 29, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Brandon Lockridge, Justin Crawford and Tatsuya Imai. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.