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Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1200 pick for Opening Night [3/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, March 25, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Opening Night's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for March 25, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1200.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 18.4% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 16.2% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 13.8% |
| Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 13.0% |
| Rafael Devers (Giants) | 12.7% |
| Trent Grisham (Yankees) | 12.1% |
| Austin Wells (Yankees) | 11.4% |
| Cody Bellinger (Yankees) | 11.1% |
| Matt Chapman (Giants) | 11.0% |
| Willy Adames (Giants) | 11.0% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 18.4% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (16.2%) and Ben Rice (13.8%).
Jazz Chisholm and Rafael Devers are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Wednesday's home run picks [3/25/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, highlights today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Jerar Encarnacion (Giants) to hit a home run
- Probability: 9.1%
- Odds: +1200
- Edge: 1.4%
- Game: Yankees vs. Giants (8:05 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Max Fried
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, San Francisco slugger Jerar Encarnacion rates as a value play at +1200 with BetMGM, showing a 1.4% edge.
Against Yankees starter Max Fried, the data supports Encarnacion as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 1 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, March 25, 2026]
- Yankees vs. Giants (8:05PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
For March 25, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Ben Rice projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jerar Encarnacion who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 1.4% edge at +1200 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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