Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Game 4 has +620 odds [10/28/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, October 28, 2025, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 28, 2025

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +620.

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	22.6%
Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays)	17.1%
Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers)	16.9%
Max Muncy (Dodgers)	16.2%
Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays)	15.6%
Andy Pages (Dodgers)	15.6%
George Springer (Blue Jays)	15.4%
Mookie Betts (Dodgers)	14.0%
Will Smith (Dodgers)	13.3%
Addison Barger (Blue Jays)	13.0%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.6% chance to go deep, followed by Vladimir Guerrero (17.1%) and Teoscar Hernandez (16.9%).

Max Muncy and Daulton Varsho are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [10/28/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

George Springer (Blue Jays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.3%
• Odds: +620
• Edge: 1.4%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Dodgers (8:00PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Shohei Ohtani

Ranked as one of the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Toronto slugger George Springer offers standout value at +620 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 1.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Dodgers starter Shohei Ohtani, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Springer one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a loaded MLB slate.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

Pro users have access to a total of five home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, October 28, 2025]

• Blue Jays vs. Dodgers (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For October 28, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Vladimir Guerrero and Teoscar Hernandez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's George Springer who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 1.4% edge at +620 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.