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Home run predictions for Mets vs. Cardinals include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber [3/31/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for March 31, 2026, are based on Tuesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for March 31, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +680.

Player (Team) HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 22.2%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 21.7%
Eugenio Suarez (Reds) 19.4%
Juan Soto (Mets) 18.6%
Yordan Alvarez (Astros) 18.2%
Jake Burger (Rangers) 17.7%
Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) 17.6%
Matt Olson (Braves) 17.4%
Ronald Acuna (Braves) 17.4%
Corey Seager (Rangers) 17.2%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.2% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (21.7%) and Eugenio Suarez (19.4%).

Juan Soto and Yordan Alvarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei Ohtani 2026.
Shohei Ohtani appears in our home run predictions on Tuesday, March 31, 2026.

Tuesday's home run picks [3/31/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.

Francisco Alvarez (Mets) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 16.8%
  • Odds: +680
  • Edge: 4.0%
  • Game: Mets vs. Cardinals (7:45 PM EDT)
  • Pitching matchup: Andre Pallante

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Francisco Alvarez rates as a value play at +680 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 4.0% edge.

With Andre Pallante on the mound for the Cardinals, the data supports Alvarez as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, when bettors look for value in home run props across a packed MLB slate.

Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.

 

Pro users have access to a total of 2 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, March 31, 2026]

Conclusion

For March 31, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Eugenio Suarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Francisco Alvarez who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.0% edge at +680 odds.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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