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Home run predictions for Thursday include Aaron Judge, Brent Rooker [7/10/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Thursday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, July 10, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Thursday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.
Bet smarter with Pro: Use 20BASEBALL for 20% off Home run predictions for July 10, 2025
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 23.8% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 20.8% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 20.5% |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 🔒 |
| Mike Trout (Angels) | 🔒 |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 🔒 |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 🔒 |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.8% chance to go deep, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (20.8%) and Cal Raleigh (20.5%).
Brent Rooker and Shea Langeliers are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Thursday's home run picks [7/10/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Danny Jansen (Rays) to hit a home run
- Probability: 15%
- Odds: +700
- Edge: 2.5%
- Game: Rays vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Walker Buehler
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Tampa Bay slugger Danny Jansen offers standout value at +700 with Bet365, showing an edge of 2.5%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
With Walker Buehler on the mound for the Red Sox, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Jansen one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 31 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Dimers Pro has 31 home run picks for Thursday MLB schedule for today [Thursday, July 10, 2025]
- Cubs vs. Twins (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Mariners vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Thursday)
- Rays vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Nationals vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Thursday)
- Braves vs. Athletics (9:05PM ET, Thursday)
- Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Thursday)
- D-Backs vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
For July 10, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Danny Jansen who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 2.5% edge at +700 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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