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Home run predictions for Monday include Aaron Judge, Carlos Correa [6/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday June 23, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
These home run projections today come from our MLB HR predictions page, which highlights Monday's top slugging candidates.
Bet smarter with Pro: Use 20BASEBALL for 20% off Get Dimers Pro Home run predictions for June 23, 2025
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 24.6% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 22.5% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 21.8% |
| Pete Alonso (Mets) | 🔒 |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 🔒 |
| Mike Trout (Angels) | 🔒 |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 🔒 |
| Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 🔒 |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 🔒 |
| Eugenio Suarez (Diamondbacks) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions, with a 24.6% chance to go deep, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (22.5%) and Cal Raleigh (21.8%).
Pete Alonso and Byron Buxton are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Monday's home run picks [6/23/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Carlos Correa (Twins) to hit a home run
- Probability: 11.5%
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 2.4%
- Game: Mariners vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Bryan Woo
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Twins slugger Carlos Correa offers serious value at +1000 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 2.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
Set to face Bryan Woo in tonight’s Mariners-Twins matchup, this combination of above-market value and power potential makes Correa one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 50 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Dimers Pro has 50 home run picks for Monday Get Dimers Pro MLB schedule for today [Monday, June 23, 2025]
- Rangers vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Monday)
- Braves vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Monday)
- Yankees vs. Reds (7:10PM ET, Monday)
- Mariners vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- Pirates vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- Cubs vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Monday)
- Red Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
- Nationals vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Monday)
Conclusion
For June 23, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Carlos Correa who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 2.4% edge at +1000 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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