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Home run predictions for Blue Jays vs. Mariners include Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodriguez [10/16/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Thursday's MLB Playoffs slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for October 16, 2025, are based on Thursday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, October 16, 2025, are here—with Cal Raleigh topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for October 16, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 23.0%
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) 19.5%
Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) 17.0%
Anthony Santander (Blue Jays) 🔒
Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) 🔒
Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) 🔒
Jorge Polanco (Mariners) 🔒
George Springer (Blue Jays) 🔒
Josh Naylor (Mariners) 🔒
Dominic Canzone (Mariners) 🔒

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.0% chance to go yard, followed by Eugenio Suarez (19.5%) and Julio Rodriguez (17.0%).

Anthony Santander and Vladimir Guerrero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Cal Raleigh 2025.
Cal Raleigh features in our home run predictions on Thursday, October 16, 2025.

Thursday's playoffs home run picks [10/16/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Anthony Santander (Blue Jays) to hit a home run

Ranked as one of the top three most likely players in today's home run predictions, Toronto slugger Anthony Santander offers serious value at +541 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 2.0%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Mariners starter Luis Castillo, Santander shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of Eight home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB postseason schedule for today [Thursday, October 16, 2025]

Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" — perfect for home run betting

To make the most of our dinger picks, headlined by the strong betting edge on Anthony Santander, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code of "DIMERS" that unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet – win or lose.

This Referral Code is used for marketing/tracking purposes only. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply..

Conclusion

For October 16, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Eugenio Suarez and Julio Rodriguez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Anthony Santander who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 2.0% edge at +541 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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