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Read Article Home run predictions for Saturday include Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge [3/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, March 28, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Saturday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for March 28, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +700.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 24.5% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 19.5% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 19.2% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 18.2% |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) | 17.8% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 17.7% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 17.6% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 17.3% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 17.1% |
| Ronald Acuna (Braves) | 16.9% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.5% chance to go deep, followed by Aaron Judge (19.5%) and Michael Busch (19.2%).
Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Saturday's home run picks [3/28/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.
Francisco Alvarez (Mets) to hit a home run
- Probability: 15.9%
- Odds: +700
- Edge: 3.4%
- Game: Pirates vs. Mets (4:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Mitch Keller
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Francisco Alvarez rates as a value play at +700 with BetMGM, showing a 3.4% edge.
Against Pirates starter Mitch Keller, the data supports Alvarez as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 19 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Saturday, March 28, 2026]
- Rays vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Saturday)
- Nationals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Saturday)
- Athletics vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Saturday)
- Twins vs. Orioles (4:05PM ET, Saturday)
- Rangers vs. Phillies (4:05PM ET, Saturday)
- Pirates vs. Mets (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- White Sox vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Royals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
- D-Backs vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
For March 28, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Michael Busch projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Francisco Alvarez who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.4% edge at +700 odds.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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