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Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1500 pick for Game 6 [10/31/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, October 31, 2025, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for October 31, 2025
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1500.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 21.6% |
| Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) | 17.4% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 16.2% |
| Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) | 15.7% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 15.5% |
| George Springer (Blue Jays) | 15.0% |
| Mookie Betts (Dodgers) | 14.2% |
| Addison Barger (Blue Jays) | 14.0% |
| Will Smith (Dodgers) | 13.0% |
| Freddie Freeman (Dodgers) | 12.4% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.6% chance to go yard, followed by Vladimir Guerrero (17.4%) and Teoscar Hernandez (16.2%).
Daulton Varsho and Max Muncy are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [10/31/2025]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.
Alex Call (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 9.5%
- Odds: +1500
- Edge: 3.3%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Blue Jays (8:00PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Kevin Gausman
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Alex Call rates as a value play at 1500 with BetMGM, showing a 3.3% edge.
Against Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman, the data supports Call as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 11 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Friday, October 31, 2025]
- Dodgers vs. Blue Jays (8:00PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
For October 31, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Vladimir Guerrero and Teoscar Hernandez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Alex Call who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.3% edge at +1500 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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