Jun 13, 2026
Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Yankees are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [6/13/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Friday has +730 odds [6/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, June 12, 2026, feature Eugenio Suarez as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for June 12, 2026
See which hitters join Suarez on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +730.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 20.8% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 20.8% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 19.3% |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 18.7% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 18.5% |
| Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) | 16.4% |
| Samuel Basallo (Orioles) | 16.2% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 16.1% |
| Patrick Wisdom (Mariners) | 16.0% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 15.9% |
Our analysis shows Suarez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.8% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (20.8%) and Pete Alonso (19.3%).
Byron Buxton and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [6/12/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.
Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) to hit a home run
- Probability: 14.3%
- Odds: +730
- Edge: 2.3%
- Game: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:37 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Ryan Weathers
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Toronto slugger Daulton Varsho rates as a value play at +730 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.3% edge.
Against Yankees starter Ryan Weathers, the data supports Varsho as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 12, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Eugenio Suarez, Shohei Ohtani and Pete Alonso projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Daulton Varsho who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.3% edge at +730 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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