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Read Article Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Shea Langeliers [4/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, April 17, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for April 17, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +610.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 27.9% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 24.6% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 24.5% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 22.8% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 22.5% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 21.3% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 20.2% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 20.0% |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 19.8% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 19.3% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.9% chance to go yard, followed by Aaron Judge (24.6%) and Nick Kurtz (24.5%).
Shea Langeliers and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [4/17/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 21%
- Odds: +610
- Edge: 6.9%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Tomoyuki Sugano
Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +610 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 6.9% edge.
Set to face Tomoyuki Sugano in tonight's Dodgers-Rockies matchup, the data supports Tucker as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 11 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 17, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.9% edge at +610 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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