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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +600 pick for Friday [3/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, March 27, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for March 27, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +600.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 23.8% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 17.8% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 17.8% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 17.6% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 17.6% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 17.4% |
| Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) | 17.1% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 17.0% |
| Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) | 16.0% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 16.0% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.8% chance to go yard, followed by Cal Raleigh (17.8%) and Kyle Tucker (17.8%).
Yordan Alvarez and Teoscar Hernandez are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [3/27/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Andy Pages (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 15.5%
- Odds: +600
- Edge: 1.2%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Ryne Nelson
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Andy Pages rates as a value play at +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 1.2% edge.
Set to face Ryne Nelson in tonight's D-Backs-Dodgers matchup, the data supports Pages as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of eight home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Friday, March 27, 2026]
- Yankees vs. Giants (4:35PM ET, Friday)
- Athletics vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
- Tigers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- D-Backs vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
For March 27, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh and Kyle Tucker projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Andy Pages who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 1.2% edge at +600 odds.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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