Ole Miss vs. Georgia prediction: Georgia favored to win Sugar Bowl [2026]

Georgia will take on Mississippi in the 2026 Sugar Bowl at Caesars Superdome on New Year's Day, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts Georgia as the most likely winner of the Ole Miss vs. Georgia game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Sugar Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2026 Sugar Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Georgia a 60% chance of defeating Mississippi. Our predicted final score has Georgia winning 28-24.

According to our model, Mississippi (+6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Sugar Bowl odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ole Miss vs. Georgia picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: