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Wild vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will square off with the Minnesota Wild in NHL action at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Wild vs. Lightning game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Wild vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Wild and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 59% chance of beating the Wild.
According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Wild vs. Lightning odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wild | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Moneyline | +142 | -162 |
| Total | o6.5 (+105) | u6.5 (-124) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wild vs. Lightning picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Wild +1.5 | -170 |
| Moneyline | Wild | +142 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -124 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Wild +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wild vs. Lightning player props
Who will score a goal in Wild vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Wild vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Kaprizov a 39.3% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 8.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 39.3% |
| Matt Boldy | 28.2% |
| Joel Ek | 23.8% |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 17.7% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 17.0% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 38.3% |
| Brayden Point | 37.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 36.5% |
| Brandon Hagel | 28.5% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 24.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 8.8% |
| Matt Boldy | 5.2% |
| Joel Ek | 4.7% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 3.3% |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 3.1% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 7.6% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.0% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.0% |
| Brandon Hagel | 5.7% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 4.6% |
Wild vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Lightning and Wild at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Wild on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wild vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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