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Wild vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wild vs. Lightning NHL game on March 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Wild
3
6
Mar 24, 11:30PM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Mar 24, 11:30PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Wild
2 1 0 3
Lightning
0 3 3 6
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
WildMIN
Win %
0%
100%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Wild
2 1 0 3
Lightning
0 3 3 6
P3 18:05 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:10 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:38 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 16:05 Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:59 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P3 14:49 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 13:55 Nick Paul shot blocked by Michael McCarron
P3 10:55 Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 10:04 Zach Bogosian shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 08:36 Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 06:07 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 05:53 Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
P3 05:12 Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
P3 03:54 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P3 02:27 Corey Perry shot blocked by Jake Middleton
P3 02:21 Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 01:15 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 19:11 Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 18:40 Michael McCarron shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:36
Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P3 18:42
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
P3 18:37
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Quinn Hughes in neutral zone
P3 18:07
Shorthanded - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 18:05
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:48
Stoppage - Offside
P3 17:38
Penalty to Ryan Hartman 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 17:16
Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P3 17:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:07
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 16:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 16:37
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:34
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
P3 14:59
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P3 14:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 13:55
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Michael McCarron
P3 12:27
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 12:27
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:42
Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov in offensive zone
P3 10:55
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 10:47
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 10:04
SHOT
Zach Bogosian shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:52
Stoppage - Offside
P3 09:40
Stoppage - Offside
P3 08:45
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 08:38
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mats Zuccarello in defensive zone
P3 08:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 06:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 05:56
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 05:53
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
P3 05:12
SHOT
Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
P3 04:42
Nick Foligno won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 04:42
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:34
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:54
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P3 03:15
Nick Paul won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
P3 03:15
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:27
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Jake Middleton
P3 02:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 01:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:11
Giveaway by Vladimir Tarasenko in offensive zone
P3 00:26
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 00:26
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
P3 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:27
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
P2 19:27
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 19:11
SHOT
Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 18:42
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 18:40
SHOT
Michael McCarron shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 18:20
SHOT
Michael McCarron shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 17:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
P2 15:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P2 15:19
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel
3-3
P2 15:04
Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 14:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P2 12:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
P2 12:32
Giveaway by Brock Faber in defensive zone
P2 12:27
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Gage Goncalves
3-2
P2 12:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Filip Gustavsson
P2 11:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P2 09:51
Danila Yurov won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 09:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
P2 09:02
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
P2 09:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
P2 08:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matt Boldy
P2 07:13
SHOT
Power play - Matt Boldy shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 07:10
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Tripping
P2 07:06
SHOT
Power play - Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 06:49
Power play - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 06:13
Takeaway by Vladimir Tarasenko in defensive zone
P2 06:10
Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 06:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P2 05:45
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Brandon Hagel and Darren Raddysh
2-1
P2 05:10
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
P2 05:10
Penalty to Jonas Brodin 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
P2 05:06
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 04:48
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 03:41
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 03:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:37
Danila Yurov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 02:32
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:37
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
P2 01:30
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
P2 01:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:59
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
P2 00:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
P2 00:00
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
P1 19:15
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
P1 18:55
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Corey Perry in defensive zone
P1 18:55
Penalty to Scott Sabourin 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Nick Foligno)
P1 18:55
Penalty to Nick Foligno 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Scott Sabourin)
P1 18:49
Nick Paul won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
P1 18:35
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marcus Johansson in defensive zone
P1 18:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
P1 18:10
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matt Boldy
P1 18:04
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
P1 17:56
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 17:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P1 16:18
Giveaway by Yakov Trenin in defensive zone
P1 15:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 14:36
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Bobby Brink in defensive zone
P1 14:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 13:35
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 13:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:30
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
P1 13:26
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:18
Giveaway by Nick Foligno in offensive zone
P1 10:57
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:00
Stoppage - Offside
P1 09:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:28
Giveaway by Scott Sabourin in offensive zone
P1 08:17
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
P1 08:08
Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 08:08
Stoppage - Offside
P1 08:01
Stoppage - Icing
P1 07:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P1 06:50
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P1 06:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 06:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Filip Gustavsson
P1 05:51
Shorthanded - Nick Foligno won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P1 05:08
Shorthanded - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P1 04:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 04:17
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
P1 04:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:41
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Bobby Brink in offensive zone
P1 03:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:05
Nick Foligno won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 03:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Faber saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:59
Yakov Trenin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 02:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:50
Nick Foligno won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 02:50
Penalty to Michael McCarron 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Corey Perry)
P1 02:50
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Michael McCarron)
P1 02:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yakov Trenin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:28
Nick Paul won faceoff against Michael McCarron in neutral zone
P1 02:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
P1 02:00
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Danila Yurov)
P1 01:53
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:42
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Brock Faber
P1 01:14
SHOT
Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 00:50
Giveaway by Matt Boldy in offensive zone
P1 00:35
Giveaway by Quinn Hughes in offensive zone
P1 00:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Wild
STATS
Lightning
23Shots on Goal24
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
20Penalty Infraction Mins20
20Hits20
19Shots Blocked10
17Giveaways10
WildMIN
LightningTB
23Shots on Goal24
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
20Penalty Infraction Mins20
20Hits20
19Shots Blocked10
17Giveaways10

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Wild vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Wild vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Wild +140, Lightning -144

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Wild: 41%
  • Lightning: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wild a win probability of 41%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Wild vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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