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Wild vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Game 5 [2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The Colorado Avalanche will face the Minnesota Wild in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at Ball Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Wild vs. Avalanche Game 5 matchup.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Wild vs. Avs prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Wild and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 64% chance of beating the Wild in Game 5 of the series.
According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Wild vs. Avalanche Game 5 odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wild | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-125) | -1.5 (+114) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -220 |
| Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wild vs. Avalanche picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Wild +1.5 | -125 |
| Moneyline | Wild | +190 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wild +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wild vs. Avalanche player props
Who will score a goal in Wild vs. Avalanche?
According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Wild vs. Avalanche.
Our projections give Kaprizov a 40.7% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 40.7% |
| Matt Boldy | 30.2% |
| Ryan Hartman | 22.6% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 18.4% |
| Quinn Hughes | 17.9% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 37.8% |
| Martin Necas | 32.5% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 32.0% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 27.7% |
| Cale Makar | 26.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 8.4% |
| Matt Boldy | 5.9% |
| Ryan Hartman | 4.0% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 3.5% |
| Quinn Hughes | 3.5% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7.3% |
| Martin Necas | 6.1% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5.9% |
| Nazem Kadri | 5.3% |
| Cale Makar | 5.1% |
Wild vs. Avs Game 5 updates and essential details
Wednesday's Game 5 between the Avalanche and Wild in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Wild vs. Colorado Avalanche
- Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Wild and Avalanche, reached the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Wild in Wednesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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