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Twins vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the Minnesota Twins in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Sunday, beginning at 1:37 PM ET.
Max Scherzer (1-1, 3.38 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays, while the Twins have opted for Taj Bradley (2-0, 1.08 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Blue Jays as the most likely winner of the Twins vs. Blue Jays game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Twins and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 56% chance of defeating the Twins.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Twins vs. Blue Jays odds [4/12/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-192) | -1.5 (+159) |
| Moneyline | +116 | -130 |
| Total | o8 (-105) | u8 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Blue Jays -1.5 | +159 |
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | -130 |
| Total | Over 8 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Blue Jays and Twins at Rogers Centre is scheduled to start at 1:37 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 1:37 PM ET/10:37AM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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