Twins vs. Pirates prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/31/2026]
Get Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Sunday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Minnesota Twins will meet in MLB action at PNC Park on Sunday, starting at 1:35 PM ET.
Braxton Ashcraft (4-2, 2.75 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Pirates, pitting him against Zebby Matthews (1-2, 2.37 ERA) for the Twins.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Pirates as the most likely winner of the Twins vs. Pirates game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Pirates a 57% chance of beating the Twins.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56% chance of going over.
Twins vs. Pirates odds [5/31/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-162) | -1.5 (+142) |
| Moneyline | +135 | -158 |
| Total | o7.5 (-112) | u7.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Twins +1.5 | -162 |
| Moneyline | Twins | +135 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -112 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Pirates and Twins at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 1:35 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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