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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [4/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Playoffs Monday.
The Denver Nuggets will square off with the Minnesota Timberwolves in the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena on Monday, commencing at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Timberwolves will be led by Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu and Jaden McDaniels.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Timberwolves and Nuggets, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Nuggets an 82% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 116-106.
According to our model, the Timberwolves (+11.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 223.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-110) | -11.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +390 | -500 |
| Total | o223.5 (-105) | u223.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Timberwolves +11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -500 |
| Total | Over 223.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves +11.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Minnesota vs. Denver matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Julius Randle is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 14 rebounds and 12 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 22 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 42 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 21 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Naz Reid | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Bones Hyland | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 30 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 75 |
| Jamal Murray | 29 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 52 |
| Aaron Gordon | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Wolves vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Nuggets and Timberwolves in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Timberwolves and Nuggets, made the NBA Playoffs 2026, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Make the most of Dimers' Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Monday's NBA playoffs matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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