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Bucks vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for 30 points in Wednesday's NBA game [1/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Golden State Warriors and Milwaukee Bucks will meet in NBA action at Chase Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Bucks vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, while the Bucks will be led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter and Ryan Rollins.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Bucks and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Warriors a 70% chance of defeating the Bucks. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 117-111.
According to our model, the Bucks (+6.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Bucks vs. Warriors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +210 | -230 |
| Total | o228.5 (-112) | u228.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks +6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | -230 |
| Total | Under 228.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors to win.
Bucks vs. Warriors player props
Betting on Milwaukee vs. Golden State NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to lead the Bucks with 30 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Antetokounmpo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 58 |
| Kevin Porter | 18 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 45 |
| Ryan Rollins | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| Myles Turner | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Bobby Portis | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 49 |
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 41 |
| B. Podziemski | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| D. Melton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| Moses Moody | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
Bucks vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Warriors and Bucks at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Wednesday, with Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for a game-high 58 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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