Brewers vs. Red Sox prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [4/6/2026]

MLB action continues on Monday at 6:45 PM ET as the Milwaukee Brewers square off with the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Brayan Bello (0-1, 9.64 ERA) will start for the Red Sox, up against Brandon Woodruff (1-0, 3.60 ERA) for the Brewers.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Red Sox.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Brewers vs. Red Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.

Brewers vs. Red Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Brewers and Red Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 52% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of eight runs has a 54% chance of going over.

Brewers vs. Red Sox odds [4/6/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Brewers vs. Red Sox picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: