Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State prediction: Fresno State favored to win Arizona Bowl [2025]

Fresno State and Miami Ohio will meet in the 2025 Arizona Bowl at Arizona Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts Fresno State as the most likely winner of the Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arizona Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2025 Arizona Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Fresno State a 65% chance of beating Miami Ohio. Our predicted final score has Fresno State winning 24-19.

According to our model, Miami Ohio (+5.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under has a 58% chance of staying under.

Arizona Bowl odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: