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Heat vs. Celtics prediction: Boston favored to win Friday's NBA game [2/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 7:30 PM ET as the Miami Heat face off with the favored Boston Celtics at TD Garden.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Celtics game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Celtics lineup will feature players like Jaylen Brown, Derrick White and Payton Pritchard, while the Heat will be led by Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Heat vs. Celtics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Heat and Celtics 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Celtics a 70% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 115-110.
According to our model, the Celtics (-6) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 227.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Heat vs. Celtics odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6 (-112) | -6 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +194 | -225 |
| Total | o227.5 (-110) | u227.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Heat vs. Celtics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Celtics -6 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Celtics | -225 |
| Total | Under 227.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Celtics to win.
Heat vs. Celtics player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Miami vs. Boston game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.
Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while Jaylen Brown is projected to have 32 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Celtics.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Heat prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Bam Adebayo | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Pelle Larsson | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
Celtics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Celtics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 32 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 54 |
| Derrick White | 18 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 41 |
| P. Pritchard | 17 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 34 |
| Nikola Vucevic | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Sam Hauser | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
Heat vs. Celtics game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Celtics and Heat at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
- Date: Friday, February 6, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Friday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Celtics insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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