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Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss prediction: Why Miami Florida is favored to win Fiesta Bowl [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Miami (FL) vs Ole Miss predictions for college football Thursday.
Mississippi will square off with Miami Florida in the 2026 Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
The winner will not only be crowned the 2026 champion, but will also advance to the National Championship game.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts Miami Florida as the most likely winner of the Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Fiesta Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of the 2026 Fiesta Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Miami Florida a 57% chance of beating Mississippi. Our predicted final score has Miami Florida winning 28-25.
According to our model, Mississippi (+3.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Fiesta Bowl odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Miami (FL) | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (+100) | +3.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -168 | +150 |
| Total | o52.5 (-115) | u52.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi +3.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Mississippi | +150 |
| Total | Under 52.5 | -105 |
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi +3.5 at the spread.
Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's college football game between Ole Miss and Miami (FL) at State Farm Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Florida vs. Mississippi
- Date: Thursday, January 8, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Stadium
Conclusion
We predict Miami Florida, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Miami Florida vs. Mississippi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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