Memphis vs. North Carolina State prediction: North Carolina State favored to win Gasparilla Bowl [2025]

North Carolina State will take on Memphis in the 2025 Gasparilla Bowl at Raymond James Stadium on Friday, starting at 2:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model projects North Carolina State as the most likely winner of the Memphis vs. North Carolina State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Gasparilla Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2025 Gasparilla Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives North Carolina State a 55% chance of defeating Memphis. Our predicted final score has North Carolina State winning 28-26.

According to our model, Memphis (+3.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 56% chance of going over.

Gasparilla Bowl odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Memphis vs. North Carolina State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: