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Grizzlies vs. Kings prediction: Sacramento favored to win Wednesday's NBA game [2/4/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Wednesday.

Memphis Grizzlies-Sacramento Kings Predictions and Game Preview.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings NBA prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026.

The Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies will lock horns in NBA action at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Kings as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Kings game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook, while the Grizzlies will rely on Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward and GG Jackson.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Grizzlies vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Kings a 59% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Kings winning 117-114.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Grizzlies and Kings each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 235.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

Grizzlies vs. Kings odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Grizzlies Kings
Spread +2.5 (-105) -2.5 (-115)
Moneyline +128 -148
Total o235.5 (-115) u235.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Grizzlies vs. Kings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Grizzlies +2.5 -105
Moneyline Kings -148
Total Under 235.5 -105

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Under 235.5 total points.

 

Grizzlies vs. Kings player props

NBA player props are a great way to wager on the Memphis vs. Sacramento game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.

Santi Aldama is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 16 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists, while Zach LaVine is projected to have 20 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Kings.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Grizzlies prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Santi Aldama 16 7 4 2 35
Cedric Coward 15 7 3 2 33
GG Jackson 15 6 2 2 30
Ty Jerome 15 3 4 2 29
Jaylen Wells 14 4 2 2 24

Kings prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Zach LaVine 20 3 3 3 32
DeMar DeRozan 19 3 4 1 33
R. Westbrook 16 6 7 2 40
D. Sabonis 16 11 5 1 42
De'Andre Hunter 13 4 2 2 23

Grizzlies vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Kings and Grizzlies at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Kings, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Wednesday, with Domantas Sabonis projected for a game-high 42 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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