Grizzlies vs. Lakers prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 37 points in Sunday's NBA game [1/4/2026]

The Los Angeles Lakers and Memphis Grizzlies will meet in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Lakers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature players like Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Marcus Smart, while the Grizzlies will rely on Jaren Jackson, Cam Spencer and Santi Aldama.

Doncic is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 37 points and 4 threes.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Grizzlies vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Lakers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 69% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 121-115.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Grizzlies and Lakers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 238.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Grizzlies vs. Lakers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 238.5 total points.

Grizzlies vs. Lakers player props

Looking for Memphis vs. LA Lakers NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Jaren Jackson is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 18 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 37 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists for the Lakers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Grizzlies prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:

Lakers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:

Grizzlies vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Lakers and Grizzlies at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Sunday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 68 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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