Mattia Bellucci vs. Casper Ruud prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Mattia Bellucci and Casper Ruud are scheduled to meet in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Monday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Casper Ruud as the most likely winner of the Bellucci vs. Ruud match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Bellucci vs. Ruud prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Bellucci-Ruud men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Ruud an 80% chance of beating Bellucci in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Ruud has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ruud (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 36.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Mattia Bellucci vs. Casper Ruud odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bellucci vs. Ruud picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: