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Marin Cilic vs. Casper Ruud prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Cilic vs Ruud predictions for 2026 Australian Open.
Marin Cilic and Casper Ruud will meet in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open on Saturday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Casper Ruud as the most likely winner of the Cilic vs. Ruud match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cilic vs. Ruud prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Cilic-Ruud men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Ruud a 72% chance of winning against Cilic in the 2026 Australian Open.
Additionally, Ruud has a 65% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ruud (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Marin Cilic vs. Casper Ruud odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cilic | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +215 | -261 |
| First Set | +162 | -200 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-120) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o38.5 (-120) | u38.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cilic vs. Ruud picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ruud | -261 |
| First Set | Ruud | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Casper Ruud to win the first set.
Cilic vs. Ruud updates and essential details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Marin Cilic and Casper Ruud is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 5:05 AM ET.
- Who: Marin Cilic vs. Casper Ruud
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:05 AM ET/2:05AM PT
- Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Casper Ruud, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Marin Cilic at the 2026 Australian Open.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cilic vs. Ruud insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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