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Marin Cilic vs. Alexei Popyrin prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Cilic vs Popyrin predictions for ATP Miami Open.
Marin Cilic will take on Alexei Popyrin in the round of 128 at the ATP Miami event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Marin Cilic as the most likely winner of the Cilic vs. Popyrin match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cilic vs. Popyrin prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Cilic-Popyrin men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Cilic a 61% chance of winning against Popyrin at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Cilic has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cilic (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Marin Cilic vs. Alexei Popyrin odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cilic | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -152 | +132 |
| First Set | -152 | +120 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-126) | +1.5 (-108) |
| Total Games | o25.5 (-105) | u25.5 (-135) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cilic vs. Popyrin picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cilic | -152 |
| First Set | Popyrin | -135 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Marin Cilic to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cilic vs. Popyrin updates and essential details
The ATP Miami Open match between Marin Cilic and Alexei Popyrin is scheduled to start on Thursday at 3:15 PM ET.
- Who: Marin Cilic vs. Alexei Popyrin
- Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:15 PM ET/12:15PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Marin Cilic, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Alexei Popyrin at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cilic vs. Popyrin insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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