Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera and Matteo Berrettini are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Rio Open event on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Barrios Vera vs. Berrettini match.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Barrios Vera vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Barrios Vera-Berrettini men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Berrettini a 73% chance of beating Barrios Vera at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

Additionally, Berrettini has a 68% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs. Matteo Berrettini odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Barrios Vera vs. Berrettini picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Barrios Vera vs. Berrettini updates and essential details

The ATP Rio Open match between Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 2:30 PM ET.

• Who: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs. Matteo Berrettini
• Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Marcelo Barrios Vera at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Barrios Vera vs. Berrettini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.