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North QLD Cowboys vs. Manly Sea Eagles prediction: Why Cowboys are favored to win Thursday's NRL Round 7 matchup [4/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get North QLD Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles predictions for NRL Thursday.
The North QLD Cowboys will take on the Manly Sea Eagles in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 5:50 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Cowboys as the most likely winner of the Sea Eagles vs. Cowboys game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NRL game between the Sea Eagles and Cowboys, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Cowboys a 69% chance of beating the Sea Eagles.
According to our model, the Cowboys (-4.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has a 66% chance of staying under.
Manly vs. Cowboys odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sea Eagles | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +130 | -164 |
| Line (Spread) | +4.5 (-105) | -4.5 (-120) |
| Total | o54.5 (-112) | u54.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sea Eagles vs. Cowboys picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys -4.5 | bet_rivers_in-120 |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | bet_rivers_in-164 |
| Total | Under 54.5 | -114 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 54.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Cowboys and Sea Eagles at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:50 AM ET.
- Who: Manly Sea Eagles vs. North QLD Cowboys
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Time: 5:50 AM ET/2:50AM PT
- Venue: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Cowboys, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Sea Eagles in Thursday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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