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LSU vs. Houston prediction: Houston favored to win Texas Bowl [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get LSU vs Houston predictions for college football Saturday.
Houston and LSU will meet in the 2025 Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium on Saturday, starting at 9:15 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model projects Houston as the most likely winner of the LSU vs. Houston game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Texas Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2025 Texas Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Houston a 55% chance of beating LSU. Our predicted final score has Houston winning 23-21.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and LSU and Houston each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 60% chance of staying under.
Texas Bowl odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | LSU | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -105 | -110 |
| Total | o42.5 (-108) | u42.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
LSU vs. Houston picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Houston -1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Houston | -110 |
| Total | Under 42.5 | -110 |
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 42.5 total points.
LSU vs. Houston game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's college football action between Houston and LSU at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 9:15 PM ET.
- Who: LSU vs. Houston
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 9:15 PM ET/6:15PM PT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
Conclusion
We predict Houston, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat LSU on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate LSU vs. Houston insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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