Kings vs. Rangers prediction: Rangers favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/16/2026]

The NY Rangers will take on the Los Angeles Kings, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Madison Square Garden on Monday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Rangers a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Kings.

This article offers further insights into Monday's Kings vs. Rangers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Rangers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL matchup between the Kings and Rangers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rangers a 51% chance of beating the Kings.

According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over.

Kings vs. Rangers odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Rangers
Puck Line	-1.5 (+220)	+1.5 (-265)
Moneyline	-111	-105
Total	o5.5 (-115)	u5.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Rangers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Rangers +1.5	-265
Moneyline	Rangers	-105
Total	Over 5.5	-115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rangers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kings vs. Rangers player props

Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Rangers?

According to our model, Artemi Panarin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Rangers.

Our projections give Panarin a 37.1% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is a 7.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Artemi Panarin	37.1%
Adrian Kempe	37.0%
Alex Laferriere	28.3%
Quinton Byfield	26.5%
Trevor Moore	24.6%

NY Rangers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alexis Lafreniere	29.6%
Mika Zibanejad	28.5%
J.T. Miller	25.1%
Will Cuylle	24.8%
Vincent Trocheck	22.1%

First goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	First Goal Probability
Adrian Kempe	8.2%
Artemi Panarin	7.5%
Alex Laferriere	5.7%
Quinton Byfield	5.2%
Trevor Moore	4.5%

NY Rangers

Player	First Goal Probability
Alexis Lafreniere	6.4%
Mika Zibanejad	5.2%
Will Cuylle	4.6%
J.T. Miller	4.4%
Gabe Perreault	4.3%

Kings vs. Rangers game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Rangers and Kings at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. NY Rangers
• Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Rangers, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Rangers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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