Lorenzo Sonego vs. Edas Butvilas prediction, odds, picks for ATP Geneva Open 2026

Lorenzo Sonego and Edas Butvilas are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Geneva Open event on Monday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Lorenzo Sonego as the most likely winner of the Sonego vs. Butvilas match.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sonego vs. Butvilas prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Sonego-Butvilas men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Sonego a 56% chance of winning against Butvilas at the ATP Geneva Open tournament.

Additionally, Sonego has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the **over/under of 22.5 games also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Edas Butvilas odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sonego	Butvilas
Moneyline	-152	+122
First Set	-139	+110
Game Spread	-1.5 (-120)	+1.5 (-110)
Total Games	o22.5 (-122)	u22.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sonego vs. Butvilas picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Butvilas	+122
First Set	Butvilas	-110

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Edas Butvilas to win.

Although Butvilas is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sonego vs. Butvilas updates and essential details

The ATP Geneva Open match between Lorenzo Sonego and Edas Butvilas is scheduled to begin on Monday at 2:10 PM ET.

• Who: Lorenzo Sonego vs. Edas Butvilas
• Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Geneva, Switzerland Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Sonego, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Edas Butvilas at the ATP Geneva Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.